SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
57.06% ( 0.1) | 25.89% ( 0) | 17.04% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 39.15% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.11% ( -0.13) | 61.89% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.34% ( -0.1) | 81.65% ( 0.09) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( -0.01) | 21.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.83% ( -0.02) | 55.16% ( 0.02) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.13% ( -0.22) | 49.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.43% ( -0.15) | 84.56% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 16.58% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 57.05% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.04% |
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