SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 2-1 (7.12%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Boca Juniors |
37.8% ( -0.75) | 30.87% ( -0.17) | 31.33% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 39.57% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.05% ( 0.63) | 67.95% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.1% ( 0.41) | 85.9% ( -0.41) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.23% ( -0.14) | 34.77% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.5% ( -0.15) | 71.5% ( 0.15) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% ( 1.09) | 39.34% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.96% ( 1) | 76.04% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.44% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.8% | 0-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.32) 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.86% | 0-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.49% Total : 31.33% |
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