SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 63.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Platense had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.73%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Platense |
63.13% ( 0.17) | 23.09% ( -0.05) | 13.78% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 39.56% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.51% ( -0.03) | 57.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.72% ( -0.03) | 78.28% ( 0.02) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 0.05) | 17.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( 0.08) | 48.6% ( -0.09) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.21) | 51.84% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.1% ( -0.14) | 85.9% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 15.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.73% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 63.12% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 13.78% |
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