SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 78.54%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Platense had a probability of 7.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Platense |
78.54% ( -0.17) | 14.03% ( 0.12) | 7.43% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.41) | 36.59% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.26% ( -0.45) | 58.75% ( 0.45) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.52% ( -0.13) | 7.48% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.12% ( -0.33) | 26.88% ( 0.33) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.1% ( -0.17) | 50.9% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.72% ( -0.11) | 85.28% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Platense |
| 2-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.6% Total : 78.53% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 14.03% | 0-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 7.43% |
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