SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Platense had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Platense |
66.07% ( 0.21) | 20.83% ( -0.13) | 13.1% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.92% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% ( 0.35) | 50.5% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( 0.31) | 72.43% ( -0.3) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( 0.18) | 14.47% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.56% ( 0.34) | 42.44% ( -0.34) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.35% ( 0.09) | 48.65% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.29% ( 0.07) | 83.7% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 66.06% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.83% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 13.1% |
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