SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
46.19% ( -0.01) | 26.64% ( 0) | 27.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( -0.01) | 55.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( -0.01) | 76.75% ( 0.01) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.01) | 24.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( -0.02) | 58.29% ( 0.02) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% | 35.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% | 72.56% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.17% |
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