SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
51.85% ( -0.25) | 26.98% ( -0) | 21.17% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.92% ( 0.24) | 61.08% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.95% ( 0.18) | 81.05% ( -0.17) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( -0.01) | 23.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( -0.01) | 57.97% ( 0.02) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.48% ( 0.42) | 44.52% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.45% ( 0.34) | 80.55% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 15.21% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.17% |
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