SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Lanus |
36.23% ( -0.14) | 28.79% ( 0.08) | 34.97% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.88% ( -0.29) | 61.11% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.92% ( -0.22) | 81.08% ( 0.21) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( -0.23) | 32.16% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( -0.27) | 68.65% ( 0.27) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.11) | 32.99% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( -0.12) | 69.57% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.97% |
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