Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colon | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
39.36% ( 0) | 28.11% ( 0) | 32.52% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.02% ( -0.02) | 58.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.55% ( -0.01) | 79.45% ( 0.02) |
Colon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.81% ( -0.01) | 29.19% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.87% ( -0.01) | 65.13% ( 0.02) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( -0.01) | 33.54% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% ( -0.01) | 70.18% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Colon | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.36% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.52% |
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