SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Patronato |
38.03% ( -0.37) | 27.8% ( -0.03) | 34.18% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( 0.19) | 57.58% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( 0.15) | 78.36% ( -0.14) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.12) | 29.29% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( -0.15) | 65.26% ( 0.16) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( 0.37) | 31.7% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( 0.42) | 68.12% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Patronato |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.02% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.17% |
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