SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Colon had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Colon |
56.76% ( 0.07) | 24.8% ( -0.03) | 18.44% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.07% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.38% ( 0.06) | 56.62% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( 0.05) | 77.59% ( -0.05) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( 0.05) | 19.9% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.97% ( 0.08) | 52.03% ( -0.08) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.01% ( -0.01) | 44.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% ( -0.01) | 80.92% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 14.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2% ( 0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 56.76% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.6% Total : 18.44% |
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