SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 35.33%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
35.33% ( -0.36) | 29.35% ( 0.31) | 35.32% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.89% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.99% ( -1.02) | 63.01% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.53% ( -0.74) | 82.48% ( 0.75) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( -0.77) | 33.75% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% ( -0.85) | 70.41% ( 0.86) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( -0.5) | 33.75% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% ( -0.54) | 70.41% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.32% | 1-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.32% |
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