SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
46.76% ( -0.02) | 27.09% ( 0.11) | 26.16% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.78% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.21% ( -0.45) | 57.79% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.47% ( -0.36) | 78.52% ( 0.36) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( -0.21) | 24.73% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( -0.3) | 59.28% ( 0.29) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( -0.33) | 37.85% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.37% ( -0.32) | 74.62% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.65% Total : 26.16% |
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