SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 47.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
47.2% ( -0.89) | 27.69% ( -0.11) | 25.11% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 44.34% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.51% ( 0.98) | 60.49% ( -0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.39% ( 0.73) | 80.61% ( -0.74) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.01) | 25.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( 0.02) | 60.65% ( -0.02) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% ( 1.49) | 40.29% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.08% ( 1.33) | 76.91% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.35)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 47.2% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.33% Total : 25.11% |
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