SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.57%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Banfield |
60.04% ( -0.15) | 25.05% ( 0.07) | 14.91% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 37.33% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.97% ( -0.1) | 62.03% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% ( -0.08) | 81.75% ( 0.07) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.1) | 20.76% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -0.15) | 53.39% ( 0.15) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.1% ( 0.05) | 52.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.42% ( 0.03) | 86.58% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 17.26% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 60.04% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 14.91% |
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