SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.95%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.7%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Banfield |
42.95% ( -0.01) | 31.08% ( 0.01) | 25.97% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 37.02% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.02) | 69.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.82% ( -0.01) | 87.18% ( 0.01) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.33% ( -0.01) | 32.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.78% ( -0.02) | 69.22% ( 0.02) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.99% ( -0.01) | 45.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.06% ( -0.01) | 80.94% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 16.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.95% | 0-0 @ 14.7% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.13% 2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.07% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.97% |
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