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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 13, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
2 - 1
Banfield

Lopez (3'), Avalos (52' pen.)
Avalos (20'), Lautaro Millan (24'), Laso (45+2'), Aguilar (47'), Luna (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gimenez (28')
Gimenez (7'), Nunez (51'), Maciel (75'), Insua (86')
Quiroz (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 0-0 Independiente
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 2-0 Newell's OB
Wednesday, June 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 1-1 Banfield

Independiente head into Thursday's contest on home turf desperate for a first win of the second phase of their season, while the visitors will travel with renewed confidence from their triumph last time out. With both having shown their defensive capabilities, we anticipate a hard-fought encounter at the Estadio Libertadores de America and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.95%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.7%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawBanfield
42.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 31.08% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 25.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 37.02% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)69.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)87.18% (0.012 0.01)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)69.22% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Banfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)45.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.94% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 42.95%
    Banfield 25.97%
    Draw 31.07%
IndependienteDrawBanfield
1-0 @ 16.45% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 42.95%
0-0 @ 14.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 13.13%
2-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 31.07%
0-1 @ 11.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 Independiente
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-3 Talleres
Saturday, May 11 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-2 Talleres
Tuesday, April 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 0-1 Independiente
Saturday, April 6 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 2-0 Newell's OB
Wednesday, June 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-0 Banfield
Sunday, May 26 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-1 Huracan
Sunday, May 19 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-0 Banfield
Tuesday, May 14 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-2 Banfield
Sunday, April 14 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 0-1 Independiente
Saturday, April 6 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division


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