SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
46.62% ( 0.25) | 28.25% ( -0.07) | 25.13% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.94% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.71% ( 0.14) | 62.29% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.05% ( 0.1) | 81.95% ( -0.1) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( 0.19) | 26.85% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( 0.25) | 62.15% ( -0.25) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.08) | 41.3% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.18% ( -0.07) | 77.82% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 14.57% 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.22% Total : 25.13% |
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