SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 44.43%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
44.43% ( 0.21) | 29.82% ( 0.02) | 25.75% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 39.65% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.36% ( -0.15) | 66.64% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.98% ( -0.1) | 85.02% ( 0.1) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( 0.04) | 30.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( 0.05) | 66.27% ( -0.05) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.74% ( -0.29) | 43.25% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.49% ( -0.24) | 79.5% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 15.63% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.28% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.82% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.03% Total : 25.75% |
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