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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | River Plate |
33.01% ( -0.01) | 29.62% ( -0.02) | 37.37% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.01% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36% ( 0.05) | 64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.82% ( 0.04) | 83.18% ( -0.04) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.02) | 35.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% ( 0.02) | 72.65% ( -0.02) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( 0.04) | 32.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( 0.05) | 69.51% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 33.01% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.61% | 0-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.37% |
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