SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 45.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
45.22% ( 0.07) | 27.88% ( -0.04) | 26.9% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.17% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.88% ( 0.13) | 60.11% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.67% ( 0.1) | 80.32% ( -0.1) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( 0.1) | 26.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( 0.13) | 61.75% ( -0.13) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.05) | 38.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( 0.04) | 75.25% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 45.22% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.9% |
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