SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
52.99% ( 2.08) | 24.2% ( -0.93) | 22.81% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( 1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( 2.65) | 49.42% ( -2.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% ( 2.33) | 71.46% ( -2.33) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( 1.86) | 18.6% ( -1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.11% ( 3.04) | 49.88% ( -3.04) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( 0.41) | 36.23% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( 0.41) | 73.01% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.76)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.81% |
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