SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
53.53% ( 0.55) | 27.44% ( -0.13) | 19.02% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 38.55% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.59% ( -0.01) | 64.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.52% ( -0.01) | 83.47% ( 0.01) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( 0.24) | 24.52% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( 0.34) | 58.99% ( -0.34) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.08% ( -0.5) | 48.92% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.1% ( -0.36) | 83.9% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 16.86% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 53.52% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 11.99% 2-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.02% |
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