Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.17%) and 1-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (13.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
