Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 39.99%. A draw had a probability of 32.9% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (6.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood.
