SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 36.01%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 31.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.35%) and 1-2 (6.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.06%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (14.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
31.45% ( 0.18) | 32.53% ( -0.05) | 36.01% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 35.83% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.7% ( 0.14) | 72.3% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.33% ( 0.08) | 88.67% ( -0.08) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( 0.23) | 41.8% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% ( 0.19) | 78.26% ( -0.2) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.56% ( -0.01) | 38.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.81% ( -0.01) | 75.19% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 31.45% | 0-0 @ 16.06% ( -0.09) 1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 32.53% | 0-1 @ 15.36% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.01% |
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