SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.71%) and 1-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Instituto |
31.42% ( -0.13) | 29.62% ( 0.05) | 38.97% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.68% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.77% ( -0.18) | 64.23% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.65% ( -0.13) | 83.35% ( 0.13) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% ( -0.19) | 37.17% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.04% ( -0.19) | 73.96% ( 0.19) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.94% ( -0.04) | 32.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.47% ( -0.05) | 68.53% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 31.41% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.6% | 0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 38.96% |
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