SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Barracas Central |
50.08% ( -0.01) | 27.53% ( 0.02) | 22.4% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.28% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.18% ( -0.08) | 61.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.4% ( -0.06) | 81.6% ( 0.06) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( -0.04) | 24.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( -0.06) | 59.58% ( 0.06) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.06) | 43.67% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.15% ( -0.05) | 79.85% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.4% |
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