Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
