SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Rosario Central |
37.41% ( 0.53) | 29.74% ( 0.02) | 32.85% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 42.66% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.6% ( -0.14) | 64.4% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.53% ( -0.1) | 83.47% ( 0.09) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( 0.27) | 33.12% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( 0.29) | 69.72% ( -0.3) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( -0.47) | 36.21% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27% ( -0.48) | 72.99% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.73% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 32.85% |
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