SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
53.17% ( 0.05) | 27.08% ( -0.02) | 19.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.29% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.32% ( 0.04) | 62.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.76% ( 0.03) | 82.23% ( -0.03) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( 0.04) | 23.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( 0.05) | 58.14% ( -0.06) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.96% ( -0) | 47.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.48% ( -0) | 82.52% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 16.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 53.16% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.75% |
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