SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente |
42.7% ( -0.11) | 28.32% ( 0.02) | 28.98% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.19% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.31% ( -0.02) | 60.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( -0.02) | 80.76% ( 0.02) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( -0.07) | 28.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( -0.09) | 63.82% ( 0.09) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% ( 0.06) | 37.11% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.1% ( 0.06) | 73.9% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.98% |
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