SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 34.92%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (13.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Independiente |
34.36% ( 0.02) | 30.72% | 34.92% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.29% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.72% ( -0) | 67.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.55% ( 0) | 85.45% ( -0) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% ( 0.02) | 36.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( 0.01) | 73.51% ( -0.02) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% ( -0.01) | 36.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.88% ( -0.02) | 73.11% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.88% Total : 34.36% | 1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.34% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.72% | 0-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 34.91% |
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