SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
48.64% ( -0.07) | 26.01% ( 0.03) | 25.35% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% ( -0.07) | 54.38% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% ( -0.05) | 75.75% ( 0.06) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.06) | 22.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( -0.09) | 55.88% ( 0.09) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( 0) | 36.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.54% ( 0) | 73.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 25.35% |
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