SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Talleres |
36.65% ( 0.24) | 29.62% ( 0.04) | 33.72% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 43.08% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.05% ( -0.15) | 63.95% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.85% ( -0.11) | 83.15% ( 0.1) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( 0.08) | 33.37% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( 0.09) | 69.99% ( -0.09) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( -0.28) | 35.34% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.9% ( -0.29) | 72.1% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 33.72% |
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