Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
