SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Gimnasia |
47.5% ( 0.69) | 27.68% ( -0.34) | 24.82% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.37% ( 0.89) | 60.62% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.28% ( 0.66) | 80.71% ( -0.67) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.75) | 25.64% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% ( 1.01) | 60.54% ( -1.01) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% ( 0.19) | 40.63% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.77% ( 0.17) | 77.23% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 14.17% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.06% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.29% Total : 24.82% |
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