SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 48.15%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Lanus |
48.15% ( -0.1) | 29.03% ( -0.04) | 22.81% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 39.17% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.99% ( 0.19) | 66.01% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.41% ( 0.13) | 84.59% ( -0.13) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( 0.04) | 27.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.55% ( 0.05) | 63.44% ( -0.06) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.28% ( 0.25) | 45.71% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.5% ( 0.2) | 81.49% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 16.27% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.02% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.81% |
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