SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Patronato |
44.16% ( -0.13) | 27.7% ( 0.04) | 28.14% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.43% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.1% ( -0.1) | 58.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.6% ( -0.08) | 79.39% ( 0.08) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.11) | 26.53% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -0.15) | 61.73% ( 0.15) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% ( 0.02) | 36.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.4% ( 0.01) | 73.59% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Patronato |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.14% |
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