SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
39.39% ( 0.14) | 29.17% ( 0.02) | 31.44% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.2% ( -0.12) | 62.8% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.68% ( -0.09) | 82.32% ( 0.08) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( 0.03) | 67.39% ( -0.03) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.63% ( -0.19) | 36.37% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.84% ( -0.19) | 73.16% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 31.44% |
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