SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | River Plate |
15.91% ( 0.11) | 21.73% ( 0) | 62.36% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% ( 0.16) | 48.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( 0.15) | 70.84% ( -0.15) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.53% ( 0.24) | 43.47% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.31% ( 0.2) | 79.69% ( -0.19) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( 0.02) | 15.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.42% ( 0.04) | 43.58% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.91% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 11.73% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 62.35% |
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