SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Rosario Central |
41.85% ( -0.69) | 28.78% ( 0) | 29.37% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 44.15% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.92% ( 0.22) | 62.08% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.2% ( 0.16) | 81.79% ( -0.16) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.28) | 29.28% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -0.34) | 65.25% ( 0.34) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( 0.67) | 37.56% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% ( 0.65) | 74.34% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.51% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.72% Total : 29.37% |
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