SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 12.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Estudiantes |
69.27% ( 1.59) | 18.6% ( -0.37) | 12.13% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( -2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( -1.31) | 43.28% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( -1.3) | 65.67% ( 1.3) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.63% ( 0.05) | 11.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.92% ( 0.12) | 36.08% ( -0.12) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.29% ( -2.78) | 45.71% ( 2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.5% ( -2.26) | 81.49% ( 2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 2-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.74) 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.66)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.26)5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.61% Total : 69.26% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.36)Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
