SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Estudiantes |
48.92% ( 0.87) | 27.74% ( -0.22) | 23.34% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 42.68% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.19% ( 0.23) | 61.8% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.4% ( 0.17) | 81.59% ( -0.17) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.53) | 25.49% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( 0.71) | 60.33% ( -0.72) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.28% ( -0.51) | 42.72% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.95% ( -0.43) | 79.05% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.07% Total : 23.34% |
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