SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Barracas Central |
62.11% ( 0) | 23.19% ( 0) | 14.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.32% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% ( -0.03) | 56.31% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( -0.03) | 77.34% ( 0.03) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( -0.01) | 17.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% ( -0.02) | 48.49% ( 0.02) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.03) | 49.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.52% ( -0.02) | 84.48% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 62.1% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 14.7% |
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