SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Banfield |
52.62% ( -0.01) | 26.92% ( -0.01) | 20.46% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.59% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.5% ( 0.04) | 61.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.63% ( 0.03) | 81.37% ( -0.03) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 0.01) | 23.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( 0.02) | 57.75% ( -0.02) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.47% ( 0.04) | 45.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.64% ( 0.03) | 81.36% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 52.61% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.46% |
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