Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
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