SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Talleres in this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
48.14% ( 0.01) | 27.36% ( -0) | 24.49% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.22% ( 0.01) | 59.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.93% ( 0.01) | 80.06% ( -0.01) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.01) | 24.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( 0.01) | 59.58% ( -0.01) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% | 40.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( -0) | 77.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 48.13% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.5% |
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