SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
53.08% ( -0.96) | 27.11% ( 0.43) | 19.81% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 40.34% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.32% ( -0.82) | 62.68% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.77% ( -0.6) | 82.23% ( 0.61) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( -0.78) | 23.96% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( -1.13) | 58.19% ( 1.13) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.04% ( 0.12) | 46.96% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.54% ( 0.09) | 82.46% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.07% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.24% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.81% |
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