SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
43.63% ( 0.01) | 29.4% ( 0) | 26.96% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.36% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.08% ( -0.01) | 64.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.17% ( -0.01) | 83.83% ( 0.01) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% | 29.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( -0) | 65.75% ( 0) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( -0.01) | 41.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.3% ( -0.01) | 77.7% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0)2-1 @ 8% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.37% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.4% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 26.95% |
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