Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
