Defensa
2 - 1
Lanus

Rotondi (25'), Bou (84')
Gutierrez (31'), Hachen (45+4'), Frias (65')
Gutierrez (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gonzalez (10')
Gonzalez (43'), Belmonte (90+6')
Zubeldia (45+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Lanus
50.43%	24.54%	25.03%

Both teams to score 53.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.2%

48.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1%

70.9%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64%

19.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85%

51.16%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08%

33.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41%

70.59%

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 50.43%

Lanus 25.03%

Draw 24.53%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.43%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.1% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.26% Total : 25.03%